SLEEPERS & BUSTS If you’re only looking for sleepers in the double-digit rounds and dodging

SLEEPERS & BUSTS

If you're only looking for sleepers in the double-digit rounds and dodging 

busts early on, you're doing it all wrong. So to help you identify those 

hidden values and land mines in 

every

 round, I've divided my list of 

undervalued and overvalued players into four tiers, defined by varying 

levels of expectation. That's how Philip Rivers, even after a terrific 2013, 

can still be a sleeper and why the already-cratering Maurice Jones-Drew 

can still bust with the worst of them. 

—CHRISTOPHER HARRIS

Chip Kelly's high-flying offense grants volume,  but mistakes will hinder Foles this season.

C.J. SPILLER BILLS Health and a time-share have been problems. But his sprinter's ability isn't in doubt.

RYAN MATHEWS CHARGERS Don't be tempted by his excellent second half last season. He'll get hurt. He almost always does.

MONTEE BALL BRONCOS Catches and touchdowns await, provided he can pass-block for Peyton and not fumble.

ARIAN FOSTER TEXANS The insane workload (956 carries from 2010 to '12) caught up to him. A rebound isn't guaranteed.

CORDARRELLE PATTERSON VIKINGS If his route-running has improved, new  OC Norv Turner will target him incessantly.

RANDALL COBB PACKERS Love the kid. But I'm not convinced the Pack will have two top-10 WRs with Eddie Lacy around.

CATEGORY 1

SOLID STARTERS WHO HAVE ENOUGH UPSIDE TO BE NO. 1 OPTIONS AT THEIR POSITIONS,  AND SUPPOSED NO. 1 OPTIONS WHO MAY NOT PERFORM THAT WAY